The International Monetary Fund (IMF) lowered India’s GDP prediction for FY23 by 0.8 percentage points to 8.2 percent on Tuesday, blaming the effects of Russia’s attack on Ukraine on consumption and growth operations.
Russia invaded Ukraine in late February, destroying the country’s infrastructure and disrupting supply chains in product categories and foods globally. Fuel prices rose due to the new sanctions imposed on Moscow, adding to the world’s inflationary pressures.
Significant downgrades to the 2022 prediction include Japan (0.9 %) and India (0.8 %), indicating, in part, slower domestic demand (as higher oil costs got expected to weigh on personal consumption and investment) and drag from lower net exports.
Although the IMF’s growth prediction for India for the current fiscal year was reduced. It remains much higher than local projections.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has forecast 7.2 percent GDP growth for FY23. The consequences are being felt most strongly in the poorest countries, threatening to undo recent achievements made as they began to recover from the Covid-19 epidemic and the risks and uncertainties remain high.
Meanwhile, the IMF lauded India’s strong economy while emphasizing structural reforms implemented by the government in recent years. India’s well-targeted policy approach has aided the Indian economy’s resilience. India’s policy approach was backed by a budgetary attitude that was accommodating. It was also supported by significant structural reforms, including the bankruptcy legislation and targeted assistance to MSME and other vulnerable groups.
India real estate saw investments of $943 million
In the first quarter of 2022, real estate India reports an investment of $943 million, a 41 percent increase over the previous quarter. According to JLL real estate report or real estate market research report ‘India Capital Market Review’, although local capital sought purchases in the residential sector, international investors got observed focused on commercial properties.
Dedicated investment platforms have gone a long way, with $19 billion in pledges announced from 2012 to March 2022. Investment platforms function similarly to co-investment vehicles in that they got created to invest in a big portfolio of investors in the same industry.
79% of this platform got founded in the previous seven years, mostly as a result of market-friendly policies such as REITs and the GST.
Since 2006, the industry has received $62.8 billion in institutional investment, owing to several changes.
The removal of constraints increased the investment pace during the first quarter of 2022. In this quarter, institutional investments increased by 41% compared to Q4 2021. While local capital was chasing acquisitions in the residential sector, international investors were seen primarily concentrating on commercial properties. Back-office demand has increased as a result of healthy leasing momentum, with investors forming joint ventures or development partnerships. Retail real estate investing has also seen ongoing traction, with several opportunistic purchases in the real estate sector.
Increased reforms have resulted in $62.8 billion in real estate investments.
The set of changes that began in 2014 resulted in greater flows of capital over time. From 2006 to March 2022, 58 percent of the institutional investments of $62.8 bn were received after 2015. The REIT’s emergence in 2014, the 2016 RERA, GST, the Benami Transactions Prohibition Act, and the increasing loosening of FDI requirements over time have resulted in better openness. They have also resulted in better responsibility, quality management, and market expansion for sleeker entering and exiting real estate investing.
The favorable effect of the changes resulted in $36.7 bn. in investments entering Indian real estate from 2015 to the first quarter of 2022.
Large investors’ propensity for active engagement in the investing process and concentrated asset classes has resulted in the growth of joint venture or club investment platforms. A dedicated investment platform got launched in 2012. But, they have now progressed significantly, with a total commitment of $19 billion announced until March 2022. These accounted for the portion of the $19 billion pledges announced in the warehousing industry following GST reforms. They accounted for 34% of the total. Targeted platforms account for 18 percent of the total announced in the affordable housing market, which has received a regulatory push in recent years.
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